Fact increas to 31.1 trillion rubles,” Ankindinova calculat. In addition, the economy receiv more than 7 trillion rubles from the budget, or 5.1% of GDP. An additional increase in the resources of enterprises due to the introduction of deferrals on insurance premiums in the second and third quarters of 2022 amount to another 0.5% of GDP. What will happen next Opinions on the movement of the Russian economy in 2023 vary weakening by 2.3%. The Central Bank – by 2.4% . Banks are the most skeptical. Stanislav Murashov from Raiffeisenbank pricts a decline in GDP in 2023 by 4%. Cconomists at Alfa Bank – by 6.5% . But now experts more often mention that the Russian economy still has reserves in order to cope with the negative trend.
Will be the main factor determining
Mainly market mechanisms will support the economy Malta Phone Number List from further decline,” Akindinova said. “We believe that 2023, if nothing happens, will be much easier than 2022,” First Deputy Prime Minister Andrei Belousov assess the prospects at the end of December. “At the beginning of December 2022, sanctions against Russian oil began to operate, and from the beginning of February, new sanctions against Russian oil products are expect to be introduc,” said Sergey Khestanov from the RANEPA. — The process of the Russian economy in 2023. It will be possible to assess the real consequences of sanctions no earlier than June-July 2023, when reliable statistics accumulate.
Adaptation to new sanctions the dynamics
However the liquid part of the NWF is quite enough to finance a possible budget deficit during 2023, so even if the negative scenario materializes, the Russian USA CFO economy will have enough time to adapt.” The Central Bank expects a full return of the Russian economy to the pre-crisis level of 2021 by 2025. At the same time, the return of business to investment can be seen already at the end of 2022, admitt the head of the Ministry of Economic Development Maxim Reshetnikov. The minister attribut the expect emergence of a trend to the accumulat money supply.